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Home / Tennis / Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac Live Stream & Predictions - Machac to Keep it Tight in Barcelona

Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac Live Stream & Predictions - Machac to Keep it Tight in Barcelona

  • Machac took Jannik Sinner to 3 sets in Monte Carlo
  • The Czech has seen a first set tiebreak in 2 matches against Alcaraz
  • I am expecting this one to be closer than the odds suggest
John EastwoodWritten by John Eastwood
Updated: Apr 16, 2026
Carlos Alcaraz Tomas Machac

Carlos Alcaraz hasn't faced Tomas Machac since 2024 (Getty)

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TipOddsBookie

Over 19.5 Games

Total Games

@1.91

Yes

Set 1 Tie Break

@4.70

Tomas Machac has gone to 3 sets in six of his previous seven matches. The Czech has proved he can compete with Carlos Alcaraz, this one to go over 19.5 games.


Carlos Alcaraz Tomas Machac
Nationality Spain Czechia
Age 22 (5 May 2003) 25 (13 October 2000)
Height 6'0" (1.83m) 6'0" (1.83m)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
World Ranking 2 47
Career High 1 (September 2022) 20 (March 2025)
ATP Tour Titles 26 2
2026 ATP Tour Titles 2 1
Grand Slam Titles 7 0
ATP Barcelona Best Result Winner (2022, 2023) Second Round (2024)

HTH


Carlos Alcaraz is 1-1 against Tomas Machac, both matches coming on hard courts in 2024.

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2024 Shanghai Masters Hard QF Machac 7-6 7-5
2024 Davis Cup Hard RR Alcaraz 6-7 6-1 RET

Alcaraz the Favourite in Barcelona


Carlos Alcaraz started 2026 with 16 consecutive victories, winning the Australian Open and Qatar Open. His first loss came against Daniil Medvedev in the Indian Wells semi-finals.

The 22-year-old was beaten by Sebastian Korda in the third round in Miami before turning his attention to clay. He couldn’t defend his title in Monte Carlo, going down 7-6 6-3 to Jannik Sinner in the final.

The Spaniard slipped to World No.2 before returning to Barcelona where he is a two-time champion. He got past qualifier Otto Virtanen 6-4 6-2 in the first round, saving 5/6 break points.

Machac Finding Some Form


Tomas Machac won the title in Adelaide but hasn’t reached a quarter-final since. He lost four of his final five matches on hard courts to drop out of the Top 50. 

Switching to clay did little to improve his fortunes, the 25-year-old beaten by Rafael Jodar in his opening match in Marrakech. He beat Francisco Cerundolo in Monte Carlo before a narrow 6-1 6-7 6-3 third round loss to Jannik Sinner.

The Czech had to overcome a slow start against Sebastian Baez in the first round in Barcelona. He stormed home to win 2-6 6-4 6-1, completely dominating the third set.

Verdict

Carlos Alcaraz is the overwhelming favourite to beat Tomas Machac but the Czech has found some form on clay. I am expecting this clash to go over 19.5 games.

Stake.com

Over 19.5 Games

Total Games

@1.91 - 4 Units

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Yes

Set 1 Tie Break

@4.70 - 1 Units

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John Eastwood

John Eastwood

Graduated from the University of Portsmouth in 2008 with a BA in English Literature before completing MA in Journalism. Began his career as a sports journalist in London before moving to the Middle East to work as a sports editor for national media companies in Dubai and Abu Dhabi. Favourite Sports: Tennis, Boxing, Golf.

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