2026 State of Origin Game 3 First Tryscorer
The opening try of State of Origin Game 3 is likely to be crucial on June 8, 2026, but who will get it in the decider between Queensland vs New South Wales.
We use trends from the last 10 years of Origin clashes between the Maroon and Blues and they point to two solid bets along with a tactical pick based on potential change to the Queensland team.
- In the 29 games played in the last 8 years, a Queensland has scored the first try 15 times, a New South Welshman 14 times
- NSW have scored the first try in Game One in 7 of the previous 9 years.
- The centres (11) and wingers (10) have naturally dominated the first try scoring category, second-rowers have scored on 4 occasions with no other position scoring first more than once.
Also get the tips verdict on Origin Game 3 and our two selections for State of Origin man of the match.
Briton Nikora or Jeremiah Nanai
Jeremiah Nanai could yet pinch Briton Nikora’s starting spot for Game 3 so I'm backing either of the Queensland second rowers.
Nanai has had a direct impact for the Cowboys since coming back from injury and is fully fit for Game 3 of Origin. A double against the NRL benchmark Penrith Panthers last week sealed his inclusion in the QLD squad after lifting North Queensland to victory over the Panthers with his tries and 100 metres from 11 runs in the match.
If Nikora starts he will need to lift. The Sharks second-rower has probably been one of the underwhelming players for QLD this series and could just be waiting for the right moment to make his mark for the Maroons.
Mark Nawaqanitawase
You are not taking this job seriously if Mark Nawaqanitawase is not in the FTS repertoire.
A double for the beaten Blues on his debut gives him the credentials at representative level after just one match, and with Brian To’o being dropped for Jack Bostock I expect the first attacking opportunities for NSW to go towards Marky Mark.
Selwyn Cobbo
Selwyn Cobbo was unlucky not to get Man of the Match honours in Game 2 of the series after scoring three tries and running for 200 metres.
Cobbo has had a break out season for the powering Dolphins and has easily been the most influential player for the Maroons this series behind Sam Walker.
You know that Walker and Munster are going to go back to the try scoring well that is Cobbo and it won’t take long for the QLD winger to put his stamp on Game 3 of the series.