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Home / Rugby League / NRL / St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights NRL Betting Tips - Knights to cover in Round 10

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St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights NRL Betting Tips - Knights to cover in Round 10

  • Knights tipped to cover -8.5 against winless Dragons
  • Dragons have lost 12 straight and conceded huge points
  • Kalyn Ponga targets sixth try in five games vs Dragons
Andrew HendrieWritten by Andrew Hendrie
Updated: May 7, 2026
Dragons Knights!Expired

Dragons host Knights on Saturday (Photo by Getty Images)


St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights Preview


The Knights haven't won at WIN Stadium since 2011 but they won't get a better chance. The Dragons are woeful and Newcastle have too many weapons for them with covering a -8.5 line the best bet.
  • Dragons have lost their last 12 games
  • Dragons have failed to cover a +8.5 line in six of their last seven games
  • Dragons have conceded 92 points in their last two games
  • Dragons have conceded 114 points in their last three games at WIN Stadium
  • Knights have seen 56+ points in their last four games & 80 last week vs Rabbitohs
  • Knights have covered a -8.5 line in three of their five wins this season
  • Kalyn Ponga has scored five tries in his last four appearances vs Dragons
  • Dragons have conceded 1+ try to opposition fullbacks in their last four games

Dragons vs Knights Head To Head

Dragons won the only meeting last year, but the Knights prevailed in the two previous encounters, scoring 30+ points in both. Newcastle haven't won at WIN Stadium in 15 years.

St George Illawarra Dragons Form - Winless Season Possible

With each passing week, the likelihood of the Dragons going winless across the season actually becomes a genuine possibility.

I mean, if they don't win this game, they have the Panthers, Warriors, Broncos and Sharks coming up over the next month.

It goes without saying it's been a shambolic start to the season - a 0-8 record has led to the departure of Shane Flanagan, but seriously, what is Dean Young supposed to do with this roster?

Young halfback Kade Reed was thrown into the deep end in his NRL debut on ANZAC Day against the Roosters - he showed some promising signs, but ideally you'd like for him to develop further in NSW Cup as the Dragons were demolished 62-16 by the Roosters.

Newcastle Knights Form - Losing Streak Snapped

The Knights snapped a three-match losing streak last week to get their season back on track following some injuries to their key attacking players across the early rounds.

With the likes of Ponga, Brown and Sharpe all back on deck, the Knights emerged triumphant in an 80-point shootout with the Rabbitohs last week, holding on for a thrilling 42-38 victory.

It certainly wasn't a game for the purists and I have mixed feelings about where the sport is heading, but watching this Knights side in full flow is definitely entertaining.

Ponga had 21 runs for over 200 metres in his return from injury, while Brown and Sharpe continue to develop their halves combination. Greg Marzhew is reaping the rewards out wide, while forwards Trey Mooney and Dylan Lucas also scored doubles last week.

Dragons vs Knights Team News

No changes to the Knights side that toppled Souths last week.

Clint Gutherson returns for the Dragons at fullback, pushing Tyrell Sloan back to the reserves. Dylan Egan is also back for his first game since tearing his ACL last year as he replaces the suspended Luciano Leilua.

Kade Reed and Daniel Atkinson remain the halves.
Andrew Hendrie

Andrew Hendrie

Andrew has been writing about sports for over a decade now after graduating with a double degree in 2013. In that time he has covered a wide range of sports, including NRL, AFL, Football (soccer), Tennis, NBA, NFL and more.

As a fan of Manchester City (since the 90s, he’s not a bandwagoner so they say), Canterbury Bulldogs and the Newcastle Jets, he’s experienced the highest of highs and the lowest of lows throughout the last few years.
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