North Queensland Cowboys vs Dolphins Verdict
The Dolphins defence has been impressive this season and they can keep the North Queensland Cowboys to under 24.5 points having allowed only 14.8 points per game across their last five. They can cover the small line too.
- The Dolphins have allowed only 14.8 points per game across their last 5.
- North Queensland have not cleared 24.5 points in their last 2 games against the Dolphins.
- The Dolphins have won their last 3 games against the Cowboys.
- Jamayne Isaako has scored 9 tries in his last 6 games against North Queensland.
Head to Head Stats
The Dolphins have won the last 3 games against the Cowboys, including a 58-4 win in Townsville last season and a 43-24 win later in 2025.
The Cowboys can still create points at home, but recent head-to-head scoring points toward the Dolphins having the right matchup.
North Queensland Cowboys Form - Flat Loss Last Time Out
The Cowboys return home after a flat loss in Canberra and will be desperate to respond. They have scored 106 points across their last 3 home games, so the team total Under is not without risk.
The reason to take it is the opponent. North Queensland have averaged 23.6 points across their last 5 and now face a Dolphins team that has been restricting far better attacking sides to low numbers.
Reuben Cotter returning is a boost and Soni Luke is good to go after a knee issue. Tom Mikaele has also been named despite leaving the field with a knee injury last week, which keeps North Queensland closer to full strength through the middle.
Dolphins Form - Defensive Security
The Dolphins are fresh off the bye and riding a four-game winning streak. They have averaged 33.5 points during that run, but the more impressive number is what they have been doing without the ball.
Across their last 5 games they have allowed just 14.8 points per game, and that stretch included a tough run of attacking opponents. That defensive base makes the Cowboys Under 24.5 the best bet on the card.
Isaako is the obvious player-points look. He is named on the wing, he kicks goals, and he has scored 9 tries in his last 6 games against the Cowboys. If the Dolphins get near their 28.5 team total, Isaako has every chance to land 12+.