Newcastle Knights vs St George Illawarra Dragons Verdict
The Dragons' struggling attack is tipped for another low-scoring performance with under St George's toal predicted. Newcastle have won four of their last five games and should be good enough for a 13+ points margin.
- St George are averaging just 14.0 points per game in 2026.
- The Dragons have scored more than 16 points only twice in their last 13 matches.
- Newcastle beat St George 44-10 in Round 10 earlier this season.
- The Knights have averaged 36.0 points across their last five games.
Head to Head
Newcastle have won three of the last five meetings and completely dominated the most recent clash.
The Knights crushed the Dragons 44-10 in Round 10 this season and also recorded 30-10 and 32-12 victories in 2024 and 2023 respectively. Their three wins across the last five meetings have come by an average margin of almost 25 points.
Newcastle Knights Form - Winning Formula
The Knights have quietly become one of the form teams in the competition, winning four of their last five matches.
They have beaten Parramatta, Gold Coast, South Sydney and St George during that run while averaging 36.0 points per game.
The attacking combination of Kalyn Ponga, Dylan Brown and Fletcher Sharpe continues to create chances, while wingers Greg Marzhew and Dominic Young have combined for 29 tries this season.
The return of Bradman Best is another major boost. Newcastle already possess one of the more dangerous backlines in the competition and gain another strike weapon against the NRL's last-placed side.
St George Illawarra Dragons Form - Points At A Premium
It has been a brutal season for the Dragons, who have won just one game and sit anchored to the bottom of the ladder.
Their attack has been the biggest issue. St George average only 14.0 points per game and have failed to reach 17 points in 11 of their last 13 matches. Over their last five games they have averaged just 14.0 points while conceding 32.4.
The Dragons were beaten 34-12 by Cronulla last week and have also suffered recent defeats of 44-10 to Newcastle, 30-12 to the Warriors and 28-6 to Penrith.
Until they show signs of life offensively, it is difficult to trust them against a Knights side in strong form.