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Home / Football / English Premier League / Newcastle vs Aston Villa Betting Tips - Premier League Draw Predicted

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Newcastle vs Aston Villa Betting Tips - Premier League Draw Predicted

Quick Read

  • Newcastle are a top home side
  • Aston Villa don’t lose many away matches
  • A Premier League draw is anticipated
Alex Waite
Written by Alex Waite
Football Writer • 10+ Years Of Experience, Football Betting Analyst
Updated:
Newcastle

Newcastle are unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 home matches (Getty)


Newcastle vs Aston Villa Preview 


Newcastle and Aston Villa are well-matched and in hard-to-beat form. There’s little between these sides in terms of quality and a draw is the best bet. 

Key Stats - In Form Sides


  • Newcastle are unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 home matches. 
  • Newcastle are unbeaten in 17 consecutive home games against Aston Villa.
  • Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 3 away matches. 

2025/26 Premier LeagueNewcastleAston Villa
Current Position8th3rd
Form (Last 5)D W W W LL D W L W
Wins913
Draws64
Losses75
Goals Scored (pg)32 (1.45)33 (1.50)
Goals Conceded (pg)27 (1.23)25 (1.14)
Clean Sheets7 (31.8%)6 (27.3%)
Failed to Score6 (27.3%)3 (13.6%)
Matches Over 2.5 Goals12 (54.5%)13 (59.1%)
Matches Over 3.5 Goals5 (22.7%)8 (36.4%)
Matches with BTTS11 (50.0%)14 (63.6%)

H2H 


Newcastle have a 76-60 advantage against Aston Villa, alongside 40 draws. 

Newcastle Are Strong at St James’


Newcastle have been tough to beat lately and have avoided defeat in six of their last seven games. The Toon have lost just once in their previous 15 at home, winning 11.

Eddie Howe’s side won three consecutive Premier League matches and beat Burnley 3-1, Palace 2-0 and Leeds 4-3. The Magpies then drew 2-2 with Bournemouth, lost 2-0 against Man City and were held to a goalless stalemate at Wolves.

Howe’s team ended that min-winless run with a 3-0 home victory against PSV in the Champions League. Newcastle were in control with 2.4 XG and Yoane Wissa, Anthony Gordon and Harvey Barnes scored. 

Aston Villa Have Momentum on the Road


Unai Emery’s Aston Villa are third in the Premier League and seven points behind Arsenal. The Villans are undefeated in 12 of their last 15 league matches.

Villa are in solid away form and unbeaten in three on the road, including a 0-0 draw at Palace and a 2-1 win at Tottenham. Emery’s side followed those results with a narrow 1-0 home loss to Everton.

The Midlands outfit hit back with a 1-0 away win at Fenerbahce in the Europa League. Jadon Sancho netted the winner after 25 minutes and Villa had 1.69 XG. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Newcastle (4-3-3): Nick Pope; Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall; Jacob Ramsey, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton; Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa, Anthony Gordon

Defender Dan Burn and striker William Osula will face late fitness tests to feature on Sunday. Forward Jacob Murphy and defensive trio Fabian Schar, Tino Livramento and Emil Krafth are injured.

Bruno Guimaraes is also an injury doubt for the Villa clash. Eddie Howe gave a pre-match update on the midfielder and said, “We hope it is not serious…We will try and make the right decision with Bruno - he is a pivotal player.”

Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez; Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne; Lamare Bogarde, Youri Tielemans; Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia; Ollie Watkins

Goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez is likely to return after missing the Fenerbahce game with a calf injury. Midfielders John McGinn and Boubacar Kamara are unavailable with ankle issues.

Ross Barkley is nearing a return but remains unavailable for the Newcastle trip. Unai Emery is expecting the midfielder to be available in the coming weeks and said, “Barkley is training individually, but close to being with the group, maybe next week.”
Alex Waite
Alex Waite

Football Writer • 10+ Years Of Experience, Football Betting Analyst

Alex is a full-time sports writer, covering football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis as well as providing informative betting guides.

Alex was born in London and studied at Swansea University in Wales. He used to work as a teacher in London but changed a few years ago to work as a full-time sports writer. Mostly enjoys watching and writing about football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis.

Also featured at OneFootball, Football Whispers and World Soccer Talk and can be found at LinkedIn, Twitter and Game Day Stories SubStack.

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