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Home / Tennis / US Open Tennis / Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Tips & Live Stream - Alcaraz to Win in 4 Sets at the US Open

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Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Betting Tips & Live Stream - Alcaraz to Win in 4 Sets at the US Open

Quick Read

  • Paul has proven he can stick with Alcaraz on hard courts
  • Few are giving the American any chance at the US Open
  • I am backing Alcaraz to come through in 4 sets in New York
John Eastwood
Written by John Eastwood
Updated:
Tommy Paul Carlos Alcaraz hands

Tommy Paul will be meeting Carlos Alcaraz the ninth time (Getty)


Tommy Paul has met Carlos Alcaraz five times on hard courts, winning twice. Three of the previous six sets have gone to a tie break so I am turning to the total games market at the US Open.


Tommy PaulCarlos Alcaraz
Nationality United States Spain
Age 29 (17 May 1997) 23 (5 May 2003)
Height 6'1" (1.85m) 6'0" (1.83m)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
Ranking 21 3
Career High 8 (June 2025) 1 (September 2022)
ATP Tour Titles 5 26
2026 ATP Tour Titles 1 2
Grand Slam Titles 0 7
US Open Best Result Fourth Round (2023, 2024) Winner (2022, 2024)

HTH


Carlos Alcaraz is 6-2 against Tommy Paul, going 3-2 on hard courts.

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2026 Australian Open Hard R16 Alcaraz 7-6 6-4 7-5
2025 French Open Clay QF Alcaraz 6-0 6-1 6-4
2024 Paris Olympics Clay QF Alcaraz 6-3 7-6
2024 Wimbledon Grass QF Alcaraz 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2
2023 Cincinnati Masters Hard R16 Alcaraz 7-6 6-7 6-3
2023 Canada Masters Hard QF Paul 6-3 4-6 6-3
2023 Miami Masters Hard R16 Alcaraz 6-4 6-4
2022 Canada Masters Hard R32 Paul 6-7 7-6 6-3

Paul Searching for First Quarter-Final in New York


Tommy Paul has reached four finals this year, losing in Delray Beach before claiming the title in Houston. He lost in Hamburg and again at Queen's Club.

The American has been battling on his return to hard courts, beating Alexander Zverev in Cincinnati before a fourth round defeat to Flavio Cobolli.

He needed 4 sets to get past Coleman Wong and Dino Prizmic at the US Open. Paul came home strong to beat Alexander Bublik 6-4 3-6 6-7 6-1 6-3, winning 60% of his 2nd serves and saving 5/7 break points.

Alcaraz Showing no Signs of Injury


Carlos Alcaraz is 25-3 this year, winning the Australian Open, Qatar Open and beaten by Jannik Sinner in the Monte Carlo final. He suffered a wrist injury in Barcelona and needed four months to recover.

The Spaniard had a strong start at the US Open, beating Roman Safiullin 6-4 6-4 6-4. He came from behind to beat Jaime Faria 4-6 6-0 6-3 6-2, winning 70% of his 2nd serves and saving 5/7 break points.

The World No.3 thrashed Yibing Wu 6-3 6-4 6-1 in the third round, hitting 21 winners, 33 unforced errors and saving 5/7 break points.
Alcaraz discussed his condition after the victory: “I am feeling better and better after every match. It feels like I have been competing the whole time. So it surprised me the way that I'm feeling and the way that I'm recovering after every match.”

“I'm just really happy about how I'm able to perform at my best after every match. Doesn't matter if I'm playing four or three sets. So I'm just really happy about it.”

How to Watch Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Live


  • Event: 2026 US Open
  • Round: Fourth Round
  • Date: Sunday 6 September 2026

The Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz match at the 2026 US Open is available to stream live for registered users on Stake.

Stake is our top-recommended platform for watching tennis live online. They offer high-definition, low-latency streams alongside competitive in-play betting odds so you can follow every point in real time.

Steps to Stream the Match Live:

  1. Create an Account: Visit Stake.com via our official link to open an account.
  2. Fund Your Account: Make a minimum deposit using your preferred payment method.
  3. Locate the Match: Go to the Tennis tab under Live Events and select Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz.
  4. Start Streaming: Click the Live Stream icon on the match screen to open the video feed.*

*Geo-restrictions apply. Users must be 18+ and hold a funded account to view live streams. Please gamble responsibly.
John Eastwood
John Eastwood

Graduated from the University of Portsmouth in 2008 with a BA in English Literature before completing MA in Journalism. Began his career as a sports journalist in London before moving to the Middle East to work as a sports editor for national media companies in Dubai and Abu Dhabi. Favourite Sports: Tennis, Boxing, Golf.


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