Osaka arrives in excellent form, but Rybakina's recent success in this matchup makes her the slight favorite.
Rybakina Aims To Break Through In New York
- Osaka has a 3–1 record in fourth-round matches at the US Open.
- She has lost seven of her last eight matches.
- Rybakina lost her only fourth-round match at the US Open last year.
- She has a 12–7 record against Top 20 players this year.
HTH - Elena Rybakina leads 1-0
| Year | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Toronto WTA | QF | Hard | Elena Rybakina | 4-6, 7-6(5), 6-4 |
Osaka Battles Through to Another US Open Second Week
Naomi Osaka secured her place in the second week at the US Open after defeating Elise Mertens in a tight three-set battle, 6-3, 3-6, 7-5. After losing an early lead in the second set, she trailed by a break in the decider but raised her level in the final few games to close out the match.
All three of Osaka's matches this week have been closely contested. She defeated Anastasia Zakharova in two tiebreak sets in the first round before overcoming Katerina Siniakova in three sets in the following round.
Despite dealing with fitness issues earlier this year, Osaka has posted solid results throughout the season. She has recorded multiple wins at 10 of the 11 tournaments she has played, including this week, and has reached at least the quarterfinals in her last four events.
Osaka has played four Grand Slam round-of-16 matches at the US Open and won three of them, including her title runs in 2018 and 2020. She will now look to improve that record as she targets another deep run in New York.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Japan |
| Age | Born 16 October 1997 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 13 |
| Career High | No. 1 (28 January 2019) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 10 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 7 |
Elena Rybakina Finds Her Rhythm at the US Open
Elena Rybakina defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva in straight sets to reach the fourth round at the US Open, winning 7-6, 6-3. She served 12 aces and won 82% of her first-serve points during the match.
This is only the second time Rybakina has reached the fourth round at the US Open. Last year, she lost at this stage to Marketa Vondrousova in three sets and will now be looking to reach her first quarterfinal in New York.
After struggling to produce results and lacking confidence for several months, Rybakina regained momentum by reaching the final in Toronto and the quarterfinals in Cincinnati, where she retired due to an ankle injury. However, the Kazakh has gradually improved her level and has not lost a set so far this week.
The 27-year-old has a 7-4 record in Grand Slam round-of-16 matches, although she has lost three of her last four at this stage.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Kazakhstan |
| Age | Born 17 June 1999 |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | No. 2 |
| Career High | No. 2 (16 March 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | No. 3 |
| Tour-Level Titles | 13 |