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Home / Tennis / US Open Tennis / Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Betting Tips & Live Stream – Pegula Favored to Progress at the US Open

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Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Betting Tips & Live Stream – Pegula Favored to Progress at the US Open

Quick Read

  • Pegula in top form, unbeaten vs Fernandez in 2026
  • Fernandez struggles for hard-court consistency
  • Pegula is strong favorite to advance to fourth round
Moti Prakash
Written by Moti Prakash
Tennis & Sports Writer • 10+ Years as a WTA Tennis Betting Analyst
Updated:
Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula hits a return to Sofia Kenin in New York City Source: Getty

Fernandez has made an encouraging start to the tournament, but her struggles for consistency on hard courts this season present a major challenge against an in-form Pegula.

Pegula Targets A Fifth US Open Fourth-Round Appearance

  • Pegula has a 4–2 record in third-round matches at the US Open. 
  • She has a 30–4 record against players outside the Top 20 in 2026. 
  • Fernandez has a 2–4 career record in third-round matches at Grand Slam tournaments. 
  • She has a 1–6 record against Top 10 players over the last 12 months.

HTH - Jessica Pegula leads 3-1

YearTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026Miami3RHardPegula6-2, 6-2
2025WashingtonR16HardFernandez6-3, 1-6, 7-5
2024CincinnatiQFHardPegula7-5, 6-7, 7-6
2024Miami3RHardPegula7-5, 6-4

Jessica Pegula Continues Her Dominant Start in New York

Jessica Pegula defeated Sofia Kenin in comfortable straight sets to reach the third round of the US Open, winning 6-3, 6-1. She won an impressive 86 percent of points behind her first serve and did not face a single break point throughout the match. 

This marks her seventh consecutive third-round appearance at the US Open. She has won four of her previous six matches at this stage, including each of her last four. 

The American continues to bring incredible consistency into New York, having reached the finals in Washington and Cincinnati and the fourth round in Toronto during the lead-up events. She will look to maintain that strong momentum this week. 

Pegula has played five events on North American hard courts this year and reached at least the quarterfinals in four of them, with Toronto the only exception, highlighting her strong record in this region.

CategoryDetails
CountryUnited States
AgeBorn 24 February 1994
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 3
Career HighNo. 3 (24 October 2022)
Elo RankingNo. 5
Tour-Level Titles11

Fernandez Matches Last Year's US Open Run

Leylah Fernandez defeated Shuai Zhang and Mananchaya Sawangkaew in straight sets to reach the third round at the US Open. She has not lost more than four games in any of the four sets she has played this week. 

This is only the second time she has won multiple matches on hard courts this year across 12 events, highlighting her struggles for consistency on the surface. With this run, she has matched her result from last year's US Open. 

Fernandez has reached three quarterfinals on tour this year, all of which came on clay courts in Strasbourg, Madrid and Stuttgart. Those results have helped her remain inside the Top 40 despite her significant struggles on hard courts.

CategoryDetails
CountryCanada
AgeBorn 06 September 2002
PlaysLeft-handed
World RankingNo. 33
Career HighNo. 13 (08 August 2022)
Elo RankingNo. 52
Tour-Level Titles5
Moti Prakash
Moti Prakash

Tennis & Sports Writer • 10+ Years as a WTA Tennis Betting Analyst

Moti Prakash specialises in tennis with a key focus on WTA events and the four Grand Slams for more than a decade.


He provides expert analysis, betting predictions and tournament guides as FreeTips' tennis editor. You will find him predicting the best games each day from the WTA Tour.

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