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Home / Tennis / US Open Tennis / 2026 Men's US Open Winner Betting Odds - Carlos Alcaraz on Top after Jannik Sinner Withdrawal

2026 Men's US Open Winner Betting Odds - Carlos Alcaraz on Top after Jannik Sinner Withdrawal

Quick Read

  • Sinner's withdrawal has blown open the 2026 US Open betting odds
  • Alcaraz is the new favourite with Zverev close behind
  • Shelton and Djokovic have both moved from 15.00 to 8.50
John Eastwood
Written by John Eastwood
Updated:
Jannik Sinner Carlos Alcaraz us open trophy

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Jannik Sinner in the 2025 US Open final (Getty)


The 2026 US Open is less than two weeks away and the tournament has already generated huge interest.

World No.1 and top seed Jannik Sinner has withdrawn after being unable to recover from a knee injury. Bookmakers have been busy restructuring the betting market with many players seeing their price slashed.

Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz has been out of action for four months due to a wrist injury but recently announced he will return to action in New York. He takes over as favourite with Alexander Zverev close behind.

Let's take a look at the betting market and the main contenders for the final Grand Slam of the year.

2026 Men's US Open Odds


Player Odds
Carlos Alcaraz
2.50
Alexander Zverev
4.00
Ben Shelton
8.50
Novak Djokovic
8.50
Rafael Jodar
11.00
Taylor Fritz
13.00
Arthur Fils
21.00
Daniil Medvedev
23.00
Felix Auger Aliassime
26.00
Joao Fonseca
29.00
Jakub Mensik
34.00
Tommy Paul
34.00
Flavio Cobolli
34.00
Lorenzo Musetti
34.00
Frances Tiafoe
34.00
Alex De Minaur
41.00
Alexander Bublik
41.00
Learner Tien
41.00
Jiri Lehecka
51.00
Andrey Rublev
51.00
Hubert Hurkacz
51.00
Casper Ruud
67.00
Stefanos Tsitsipas
67.00
Brandon Nakashima
67.00
Thiago Agustin Tirante
67.00
Source: Stake.com with odds correct on 21 August 2026

Carlos Alcaraz (2.50)


Taking the Spanish superstar at 2.50 comes with risks attached, the defending champion out of action since April when he picked up a wrist injury.
There are no doubts about Alcaraz's ability on the tennis court, but whether he can sustain a deep run in New York after more than four months out of the game is a big question.

Alexander Zverev (4.00)


Zverev finally broke through to win his first Grand Slam at the French Open, capitalising on Sinner's early exit and Alcaraz's absence.

The German is a former finalist in New York and will fancy his chances of going one better this year, especially after being elevated to top seed which means he can avoid Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic and Ben Shelton until the final.

Ben Shelton (8.50)


Shelton's price has been slashed from 15.00 to 8.50 following Sinner's exit. The American has a strong record at Grand Slams contested on hard courts but is going to face a tough road to the final.

His inconsistency was on show in recent weeks, winning the Canada Masters without dropping a set before losing to Jaime Faria in his opening match in Cincinnati.

Novak Djokovic (8.50)


Djokovic has been another player to see his priced slashed since Sinner withdrew, coming in from 15.00 to 8.50. His last Grand Slam title came at the 2023 US Open but he will fancy his chances with Alcaraz coming to New York underdone.
Counting out Djokovic at a Grand Slam is risky business especially with fitness and injury doubts surrounding the favourite.
John Eastwood
John Eastwood

Graduated from the University of Portsmouth in 2008 with a BA in English Literature before completing MA in Journalism. Began his career as a sports journalist in London before moving to the Middle East to work as a sports editor for national media companies in Dubai and Abu Dhabi. Favourite Sports: Tennis, Boxing, Golf.


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