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Home / Tennis / Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Betting Tips & Live Stream – Badosa Favoured In A Tight Beijing Opener

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Paula Badosa vs Daria Kasatkina Betting Tips & Live Stream – Badosa Favoured In A Tight Beijing Opener

Quick Read

  • Badosa has regained form, closing in on WTA top 50
  • Kasatkina has suffered injuries and a string of early exits
  • Head-to-head is 4-4, but Badosa has the current advantage
Moti Prakash
Written by Moti Prakash
Tennis & Sports Writer • 10+ Years as a WTA Tennis Betting Analyst
Updated:
Paula Badosa

Paula Badosa during practice ahead of the China Open in BeijingSource: Getty

Badosa enters this matchup with greater momentum, while Kasatkina’s recent struggles leave her with plenty to prove.

Badosa Looks To Extend Her Perfect Beijing Start

  • Badosa has a 2–0 record in opening-round matches in Beijing. 
  • She has a 13–7 record against lower-ranked opponents in 2026. 
  • Kasatkina has failed to win a main-draw match in seven of her last nine events. 
  • She has a 5–2 opening-round record in Beijing.

HTH - Tied at 4-4

Year Tournament Round Surface Winner Score
2026 US Open 1R Hard Paula Badosa 6-1, 6-4
2025 French Open 3R Clay Daria Kasatkina 6-1, 7-5
2024 Ningbo WTA SF Hard Daria Kasatkina 6-0 ret.
2024 Wimbledon 3R Grass Paula Badosa 7-6(6), 4-6, 6-4
2023 Stuttgart 1R Clay Paula Badosa 6-1, 6-1
2022 San Jose WTA SF Hard Daria Kasatkina 6-4, 6-2
2022 Rome WTA R16 Clay Daria Kasatkina 6-4, 6-4
2022 Sydney SF Hard Paula Badosa 6-2, 6-2

Badosa Looks To Carry Recent Form Into Beijing

Paula Badosa had a great opportunity to lift the title in Sao Paulo a few weeks ago considering the draw, but she lost to Nadia Podoroska in straight sets in the semifinals, 6-3, 6-4. Despite missing out on the title, it was still a confidence-boosting result for her. 

The Spaniard has struggled with fitness issues in recent years and has also retired twice this year, while several early-round exits earlier in the season pushed her close to the top 150 in the rankings. 

However, her level has improved in recent months. She reached the final in Iasi, the quarterfinals in Berlin and Hamburg, and won the WTA 125 title in Bastad, results that have brought her close to returning to the top 50 in the rankings. 

This is her fourth appearance here in Beijing. Notably, she reached the semifinals in 2024 and the third round in 2025.

Category Details
Country Spain
Age Born 15 November 1997
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking No. 59
Career High No. 2 (25 April 2022)
Elo Ranking No. 42
Tour-Level Titles 4

Kasatkina Seeks To Reverse Her Recent Slide

Daria Kasatkina has been dealing with a recurring hip issue that has significantly affected her performances this year. She has retired three times so far due to that issue. 

The Australian has played 21 events this year and failed to win a main-draw match in 13 of them, including seven of her last nine. She is currently on a four-match losing streak. 

The 29-year-old has played here seven times before and progressed through the opening round on five occasions. Notably, she reached the quarterfinals in 2017 and 2019.

Category Details
Country Australia
Age Born 7 May 1997
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking No. 87
Career High No. 8 (24 October 2022)
Elo Ranking No. 65
Tour-Level Titles 8
Moti Prakash
Moti Prakash

Tennis & Sports Writer • 10+ Years as a WTA Tennis Betting Analyst

Moti Prakash specialises in tennis with a key focus on WTA events and the four Grand Slams for more than a decade.


He provides expert analysis, betting predictions and tournament guides as FreeTips' tennis editor. You will find him predicting the best games each day from the WTA Tour.

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