Jannik Sinner showed some signs of fatigue in his victory over Andrey Rublev and beat Daniil Medvedev 7-6 7-6 in March. I am backing Medvedev to stay in this one and take the match over 19.5 games.
| Jannik Sinner | Daniil Medvedev | |
|---|---|---|
| Nationality | Italy | Russia |
| Age | 24 (16 August 2001) | 30 (11 February 1996) |
| Height | 6'3" (1.91m) | 6'6" (1.98m) |
| Plays | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Ranking | 1 | 9 |
| Career High | 1 (June 2024) | 1 (February 2022) |
| ATP Tour Titles | 28 | 23 |
| 2026 ATP Tour Titles | 4 | 2 |
| Grand Slam Titles | 4 | 1 |
| ATP Rome Best Result | Runner-Up (2025) | Winner (2023) |
HTH
Daniil Medvedev won his opening six encounters against Jannik Sinner but now trails 9-7, losing four straight. This will be the first meeting on clay.
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | F | Sinner | 7-6 7-6 |
| 2024 | ATP Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Sinner | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | QF | Sinner | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024 | US Open | Hard | QF | Sinner | 6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024 | Wimbledon | Grass | QF | Medvedev | 6-7 6-4 7-6 2-6 6-3 |
| 2024 | Miami Masters | Hard | SF | Sinner | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024 | Australian Open | Hard | F | Sinner | 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023 | ATP Tour Finals | Hard | SF | Sinner | 6-3 6-7 6-1 |
| 2023 | Vienna | Hard | F | Sinner | 7-6 4-6 6-3 |
| 2023 | Beijing | Hard | F | Sinner | 7-6 7-6 |
| 2023 | Miami Masters | Hard | F | Medvedev | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023 | Rotterdam | Hard | F | Medvedev | 5-7 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022 | Vienna | Hard | QF | Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2021 | ATP Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Medvedev | 6-0 6-7 7-6 |
| 2021 | Marseille | Hard | QF | Medvedev | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2020 | Marseille | Hard | R16 | Medvedev | 1-6 6-1 6-2 |
Sinner's Streak Continues
The Jannik Sinner train keeps rolling along, extending his streak to 27 victories, 25 in straight sets. He won the Indian Wells and Miami Masters without dropping a set.
The 24-year-old beat Carlos Alcaraz in the Monte Carlo final to regain the World No.1 position. He won the title in Madrid with minimal fuss, spanking Alexander Zverev 6-1 6-2 in the final.
The Italian hasn’t lost a set in Rome, defeating Sebastian Ofner 6-3 6-4, Alexei Popyrin 6-2 6-0, Andrea Pellegrino 6-2 6-3 and Andrey Rublev 6-2 6-4. His serve has been broken once on five break point opportunities.
Sinner spoke after surpassing Novak Djokovic’s record of 31 consecutive Masters 1000 wins: “I don't play for records. I play for my own story. At the same time, it means a lot for me.
“But tomorrow is another day, a different opponent, different conditions... Emotionally, it takes a lot playing here at home. But at the same time, I definitely try to do my best. It was a good day today.”
Medvedev Chasing Second Title in Rome
Daniil Medvedev won titles in Brisbane, Dubai and beat Carlos Alcaraz to reach the Indian Wells final where he lost 7-6 7-6 to Jannik Sinner. He ended the hard court swing with a 19-5 record.
The Russian had a terrible start on clay in Monte Carlo, suffering an incredible 6-0 6-0 defeat to Matteo Berrettini in his opening match. He won two matches in Madrid before a fourth round exit to Flavio Cobolli.
The 30-year-old came back to Pablo Llamas Ruiz 3-6 6-4 6-2 in Rome before easing past Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-3 6-2. He was down a break in the 3rd set against Martin Landaluce before coming through 1-6 6-4 7-5.
Medvedev praised Landaluce after the match: “If he plays like he did in the first set of every match, he will be Top 5 by the end of the year, in Turin… When you’re young, it’s tough to play a full match like this, so I just fought. I’m happy that I managed to seal the victory.”