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Home / Tennis / Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek Betting Tips & Live Stream – Swiatek’s Strong Record Gives Her The Edge in Beijing

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Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek Betting Tips & Live Stream – Swiatek’s Strong Record Gives Her The Edge in Beijing

Quick Read

  • Elise Mertens has shown encouraging progress in recent months
  • Iga Swiatek has a strong record and past success at this level in Beijing
  • Swiatek is expected to advance to the semifinals due to her demonstrated quality
Tomasz Wilk
Written by Tomasz Wilk
Tennis Writer • 10+ Years as a Tennis Analyst & Betting Strategist
Updated:
Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek in action against Iva Jovic in Beijing, China Source: Getty

Swiatek faces an improving Mertens, although her proven quality and Beijing success give her a clear advantage.

Swiatek Aims To Repeat Her 2023 Beijing Success

  • Mertens has won three of her last four matches against Top 10 players. 
  • This is her first quarterfinal at a WTA 1000-level event since 2021. 
  • Swiatek has a 1–0 record in Beijing quarterfinals and won the title in 2023. 
  • She has a 35–8 record against players outside the Top 10 in 2026.

HTH - Iga Swiatek leads 2-0

Year Tournament Round Surface Winner Score
2025 Miami 3R Hard Iga Swiatek 7-6(2), 6-1
2024 Stuttgart R16 Clay Iga Swiatek 6-3, 6-4

Mertens Stuns Gauff To Reach Beijing Quarterfinal

Elise Mertens defeated world No. 4 Coco Gauff in straight sets to reach the quarterfinals in Beijing, winning 6-3, 6-3. This was a much more comfortable win for her after playing back-to-back three-set matches against Katie Volynets and Jelena Ostapenko earlier this fortnight. 

This is a breakthrough result for her in Beijing and her first quarterfinal at a WTA 1000-level event since 2021. She had previously made six appearances here but never won consecutive main-draw matches in any of them, winning only three matches combined. She has now equalled that total this week. 

The Belgian has been strong in early-round matches this year but has struggled to turn those results into deep runs at most events. However, she has shown progress in that area in recent months by reaching the quarterfinals at Wimbledon, the final in Monterrey and now the quarterfinals in Beijing. 

These results have pushed her close to returning to the top 15 in the rankings. She heads into this clash with a 2-4 record in WTA 1000-level quarterfinals, with her most recent success at this stage coming in Dubai in 2021, when she went on to reach the semifinals.

Category Details
Country Belgium
Age Born 17 November 1995
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking No. 19
Career High No. 12 (26 November 2018)
Elo Ranking No. 20
Tour-Level Titles 10

Swiatek Returns To The Beijing Quarterfinals

After playing a tough three-set match against Donna Vekic, Iga Swiatek defeated rising youngster Iva Jovic comfortably in straight sets to reach the quarterfinals in Beijing, winning 6-1, 6-3. She lost her serve once and broke her opponent five times during the match. 

This is her second quarterfinal appearance here in Beijing. On her debut in 2023, she reached this stage and defeated Caroline Garcia in a comeback three-set match before going on to lift the title. She will now look to repeat that success. 

The Pole struggled to produce deep results early this year and lost significant ranking points, but she has shown encouraging progress since the start of the North American swing by winning the title in Toronto, reaching the semifinals in Cincinnati and making the fourth round at the US Open. 

She has a 3-4 record in tour-level quarterfinals this year. She lost her first four matches at this stage but has won her last three and will look to improve that record further this week.

Category Details
Country Poland
Age Born 31 May 2001
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking No. 9
Career High No. 1 (4 April 2022)
Elo Ranking No. 5
Tour-Level Titles 26
Tomasz Wilk
Tomasz Wilk

Tennis Writer • 10+ Years as a Tennis Analyst & Betting Strategist

Tomasz Wilk is a tennis analyst and betting strategist with a sharp eye for momentum shifts, underdog value and live markets. His work focuses on delivering actionable insights, match previews, and betting tips across ATP and WTA tours.


Combining data and intuition, he aims to help readers stay ahead of the curve in a fast-moving betting landscape.

You can find more from Tomasz at Muckrack.

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