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Home / Rugby League / State of Origin / Women's State of Origin Game 3 Betting Tips & Preview - Queensland to be competitive in dead rubber

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Women's State of Origin Game 3 Betting Tips & Preview - Queensland to be competitive in dead rubber

  • QLD tipped to cover the +9.5 line despite key injuries.
  • Estimated low-scoring game: under 35.5 points is the betting trend.
  • Jessica Sergis likely to continue her try-scoring streak for NSW.
Jeremy DarkeWritten by Jeremy Darke
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst15+ Years of Experience, Australian Sports Specialist
Updated: May 25, 2026
women's state of origin!Expired

Women's State of Origin Game 3 to lack points (Getty Images)

QLD Maroons vs NSW Blues Women Game 3 Preview


New South Wales have won the series but might not have it all their own way in Game 3. With under 35.5 points predicted in the game, I'm backing Queensland to stay within the +9.5 handicap in a tight contest with few tries. 

  • Queensland have lost both games this series by 5 points or fewer.
  • Seven of the last nine Women’s Origin matches have gone under 35.5 points.
  • NSW have conceded just 16 total points across the series
  • NSW have scored 3 of their 5 tries on right side of their attack. 

Head to Head 


NSW lead the all-time Women’s Origin rivalry 11-6 and have won four of the last five meetings.

The Blues secured the 2026 series with victories of 11-6 and 14-10 in the opening two games.

QLD Maroons Women Form - Performances Better Than Results


Queensland’s performances have been far better than their results suggest. The Maroons have consistently matched NSW physically but have continually hurt themselves through handling errors and poor discipline.

In Game 2, Queensland completed at just 57 per cent and made 16 errors, yet still nearly forced extra time in the dying moments.

Young players like Rory Owen and Chantay Kiria-Ratu have impressed throughout the series, while Keilee Joseph and Otesa Pule continue to provide strong middle-third impact.

QLD Maroons Team News & Team List


Queensland have been forced into several major changes for Game 3 following injuries suffered in Brisbane.

Captain Tamika Upton, star winger Julia Robinson and forward Makenzie Weale have all been ruled out after picking up injuries during the Game 2 loss at Suncorp Stadium.

Their absences have opened the door for a new-look Maroons side featuring fresh young talent, with Destiny Mino-Sinapati and Lillian Yarrow both set to make their Women’s State of Origin debuts.

1. Destiny Mino-Sinapati
2. Shenae Ciesiolka
3. Rory Owen
4. Ivana Lolesio
5. Jasmine Peters
6. Chantay Kiria-Ratu
7. Lauren Brown (c)
8. Otesa Pule
9. Destiny Brill
10. Jessika Elliston
11. Sienna Lofipo
12. Romy Teitzel
13. Keilee Joseph

Interchange
14. Emma Manzelmann
15. Brianna Clark
16. Lillian Yarrow
17. Jada Ferguson

Reserves
18. Chelsea Lenarduzzi
19. Sophie Holyman
20. Georgia Ravics

NSW Blues Women Form - Series Secured


NSW’s defence has been the defining factor of the series.

The Blues have conceded just 16 total points across two games and continue to deliver in clutch moments, with Jesse Southwell and Teagan Berry producing crucial try-saving plays in Brisbane.

Southwell has controlled the series brilliantly from halfback and remains the key figure in NSW’s attack.

NSW Blues Women Team News & Team List


NSW have retained the same 20-player squad that secured the series victory in Brisbane, with only minor positional reshuffles ahead of Game 3 on the Gold Coast.

Olivia Higgins moves into the starting hooker role after wearing jersey No.14 in Game 2, while Keeley Nizza shifts back to the interchange bench despite scoring a crucial try at Suncorp Stadium.

1. Abbi Church
2. Jaime Chapman
3. Jessica Sergis
4. Isabelle Kelly (c)
5. Jayme Fressard
6. Jocelyn Kelleher
7. Jesse Southwell
8. Millie Elliott
9. Olivia Higgins
10. Ellie Johnston
11. Kezie Apps
12. Yasmin Meakes
13. Olivia Kernick

Interchange
14. Keeley Nizza
15. Kennedy Cherrington
16. Rima Butler
17. Teagan Berry

Reserves
18. Quincy Dodd
19. Corban Baxter
20. Hannah Southwell
Jeremy Darke

Jeremy Darke

Sports Editor & Betting Analyst15+ Years of Experience, Australian Sports Specialist

Jeremy is a freelance journalist who is a true sports activist. A die-hard fan of the NRL all his life and also has a passion for all the major American sports.

From when he was a little fella he has played most sports ranging from rugby, ice hockey, tennis and football, just to name a few. His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster.
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