Finland are tipped to cover the Line as a betting underdog in this semi-final clash.
Canada dominated in the group stage, but they had to survive a massive scare in the quarter-finals and may have just lost Sidney Crosby for the remainder of the tournament.
The Finns, meanwhile, have rebounded strongly from their opening-game loss and could push the Canadians to the limit here, especially if talisman Crosby is done.
Key Numbers – Back-To-Back Spread Failures For Canada?
- Finland are on a 3-game win streak
- Canada failed to cover the Line in the quarter-finals
- Canada are averaging just 1.25 goals per game more than Finland
- The Over has cashed in 3 of Canada’s 4 games
Canada Lead Recent Head-To-Head; Finland Won Last Meeting
- Canada lead the series 15-14-1 since 2003
- Finland won 2-1 when the two teams last met in May 2025
Canada Are 4-0 At 2026 Winter Olympics
Canada enter this semi-final matchup having won their fourth straight game at the tournament, but having survived a massive scare in the quarter-finals.
The Canadians dominated during the group stage of the competition, winning all three games while out-scoring the opposition 20-3.
They opened with a 5-0 shutout victory over the Czech Republic, and backed that up with a 5-1 win when they took on Switzerland.
Canada then wrapped up the group stage with their most convincing victory to date, hitting double digits as they blew out France, 10-2.
That set up a rematch with the Czechs, and the second meeting between the two nations proved to be a lot more competitive and a lot more dramatic.
The Canadians needed a late goal to force overtime, where they snatched a 4-3 victory thanks to a Mitchell Marner goal.
Finland Riding 3-Game Winning Run
Finland go into this game having rebounded from an opening-day defeat with three consecutive victories to make the final four.
The Finns opened the tournament as overwhelming favourites to beat Slovakia, only to suffer a stunning 4-1 defeat.
They quickly put that loss behind them though, stringing together back-to-back wins to avoid needing to play a playoff game.
Finland got off the mark with an upset win of their own, beating Sweden 4-1, and then backed that up with the tournament’s most one-sided win so far.
The Finns took on Italy in their final group game and rattled in 11 goals without reply as they smashed the host nation.
That set up a quarter-final clash with Switzerland, where they fought back from two goals down to win the game in overtime, 3-2.