Carlton vs Brisbane Lions Verdict
Brisbane are marching towards a top two finish on the ladder and can continue that run by brushing Carlton aside. After seven straight wins during a rampant run, I don't see the Blues standing in their way with the Lions to cover a -24.5-point line predicted.
- Brisbane have won seven matches in a row and are averaging 120 points per game in that period.
- Carlton are 0-6 against top six sides this season, losing those by an average margin of 34 points.
- Lachie Neale has had 30+ disposals in his past two matches against the Blues
- Kai Lohmann has kicked 15 goals in the past four rounds.
Head to Head Stats
Brisbane have taken out the past three matches between the two sides, including the Round 9 match at the GABBA this season by 11 points.
Carlton Form - Top 10 Aspirations Remain
Carlton bounced back from their only two losses under Josh Fraser with a 13-point win in a see-sawing match against Gold Coast.
That has kept their chances of a top 10 position well and truly alive and they are 8-2 since Fraser took over.
The Blues scored six goals to none from 12 forward-50 stoppages against Gold Coast, while Patrick Cripps recorded a whopping 15 clearances to go with his 30 disposals.
Jagga Smith and Sam Walsh also had 30+. Both Walsh and Cripps have had 30+ in four of their past six matches.
George Hewett, Will Hayward and Talor Byrne each kicked three goals, while Mitch McGovern and Francis Evans chimed in with two each.
McGovern has kicked two goals in each of his past three matches. The Blues kicked over 100 points last weekend for just the second time this season.
Brisbane Lions Form - Lions Make It Seven
Brisbane come into Round 20 on a roll, recovering from a mid-season slump to win seven straight matches and firmly in the frame for a top four spot and potentially a top two.
They were too good for an undermanned Port Adelaide outfit at the GABBA last weekend, taking out the Round 21 clash by 49 points with Dayne Zorko picking up 34 disposals and Will Ashcroft registering 30.
Ashcroft has had 30+ in his past six matches, while Lohmann has booted 15 in the past four rounds. Charlie Cameron has kicked 2+ goals in each of his past five, while Bailey has reached that mark in five of his past six.
The Lions have won their past four away matches and are 7-3 away from the GABBA in 2026. In their recent seven-match winning streak, they are averaging just under 120 points per game.
Carlton vs Brisbane Lions Team News
Harry McKay returns from a meniscus injury in a huge boost for the Blues ahead of their blockbuster clash with Brisbane. Nic Newman is sidelined with a hamstring injury, while Carlton otherwise remains settled after last week's performance.
The Lions regain Keidean Coleman and Oscar Allen, while Bruce Reville also returns. Ty Gallop is suspended, Dayne Zorko has been managed and James Tunstill has been omitted as Chris Fagan freshens his side.